Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

RMB Revaluation and Speculative Capital Inflows: Policy Options

We build a monetary model to show how expected revaluations lead to the instability of a pegged exchange rate regime. This model assumes current account convertibility and some degree of capital control, and fundamentally sound domestic policies and economy, as is the case in China. The model demonstrates that market-oriented interest rates can act as an automatic stabilizer to ease revaluation...

Equity - some theory and its policy implications.

This essay seeks to characterise the essential features of an equitable health care system in terms of the classical Aristotelian concepts of horizontal and vertical equity, the common (but ill-defined) language of "need" and the economic notion of cost-effectiveness as a prelude to identifying some of the more important issues of value that policy-makers will have to decide for themselves; the...

Monetary Policy: Some Theory and Evidence

Capital Inflows and Asset Prices: Evidence from Emerging Asia

The withdrawal of foreign capital from emerging countries at the height of the recent financial crisis and its quick return sparked a debate about the impact of capital flow surges on asset markets. This paper addresses the response of property prices to an inflow of foreign capital. For that purpose we estimate a panel VAR on a set of Asian emerging market economies, for which the waves of inf...

Investor Psychology in Capital Markets: Evidence and Policy Implications

We review evidence that investors make systematic errors, and that psychological biases a ect market prices. We argue that it is likely that mispricing causes substantial misallocation of resources and ineÆcient risk sharing. However, imperfect rationality of asset markets is not a free license for government to try to correct market mispricing ex post. There is no reason to think that regulato...